EDHRECast E6 — The Hottest Trends in EDH!


Main Topic: Observing Trends

Four main categories we’ll be looking at today:

  1. Average Card Type distribution over time
  2. Average Number of Colors over time
  3. Average Number of Legendary Creatures over time
  4. Average Converted Mana Cost over time

https://magic.wizards.com/en/products/card-set-archive

 

(I’ve input images below but also shared a separate folder with larger versions, plus an excel sheet Don gave me with more specific numbers)

 

TYPES

  • Note the relative stability from 2014 – 2018
  • Specific numbers: 25 creatures; 9 instants; 9 sorceries; 9 enchantments; 13 artifacts; 3 planeswalkers
  • Note the relative stability
  • Added up, this means folks run an avg of like 32 lands–thoughts on that ratio

 

Our metas: Is there a card type you’ve been playing more of lately? Less of?

  • Current percentages:
  • 1% colorless
  • 20% Single-Color
  • 35% Two-Color
  • 31% Three-Color
  • 6% Four-Color
  • 7% Five-Color
  • Note the spike in Nov 2016. At that time: 24% Four-Color; 26% Three-Color (down from 32% the previous month); 30% Two-Color (Down from 38% previous month)
  • Four-Color ate into 2- and 3-Color’s space, but not 5-Color
  • Note that 4-Color has tapered off a lot since the spike
  • July 2017: Hour of Devastation release, mono color decks nearly double. 18% to 30%

 

Our metas: have you noticed more colors? less?

 

Take a break from the graphs for

Head to Head

Rakdos Charm vs Izzet Charm

Blue Sun’s Zenith vs Stroke of Genius

Evolving Wilds vs Temple of the False God

 

  • Marginal increase from 3.5 to 4.5
  • No sudden increase after Dominaria
    • How long until count rises from Dominaria?

 

Average CMC Over Time

  • Don’t be fooled by the dramatic curve, this scale is measuring by .5
  • Gradual dip from ~3.75 to ~3.5
  • Do we expect this trend to continue, or reverse? Where should/would it taper off?

Our metas: How has the average CMC changed in your deckbuilding? Format speed?

Metrics we couldn’t measure this time (so these are just our biased metas)

  • Number of spot removal spells?
  • Basic Land counts?
  • Price of decks?

Challenge the Stats

  • Joey’s pick: Twilight’s Call
  • Matt’s pick: Blighted Woodland
  • Dana’s pick: Dust Bowl

 

Outro

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